Defence. NEEDS OUTSTRIP RESOURCES.
Defence NEEDS OUTSTRIP RESOURCES The three key expenditure issues for the SA National Defence Force (SANDF) are transformation, strategic arms procurement and regional peacekeeping. Each element is under mounting stress, and this year's budget reflects those strains to an unprecedented degree. The SANDF is caught in a spiral of mounting needs and diminishing resources.
The going is likely to get tougher over the next three years as the SANDF's annual payments for the heavy weapons package reach a projected peak of R7,8bn in 2005/2006.
In a desperate effort to prepare for the arrival of new helicopters, fighter jets, corvettes and submarines, now estimated at R52,9bn over 12 years, the Air Force and Navy have begun spending more on logistics support, training and skills retention. But is there enough in the pot? The overall defence budget rises just 6,4% this year to R20,1bn, with a projected R22,5bn in 2005 - hardly sufficient to meet the force's ambitious aims. Something has to give.
The problem, says retired Major-Gen Len le Roux, now a researcher at the Institute for Security Studies, is the declining operational budget. Spending on personnel and capital will rise by 7,6% and 13,0%, but the budget for operations - such as police support, border patrols, supplies and maintenance - has fallen by 8,2%. The optimum balance is 40% for personnel and 30% each for capital and operations. Instead, the SANDF is spending 35,4% on personnel, 45,5% on capital and equipment and just 19,1% on current operations. Add to the capital cost another R1bn or so for four maritime helicopters for the corvettes.
The budget bemoans the "growing spending pressure" of regional peacekeeping - especially since the SANDF expects to deploy in March a further 1000 troops to the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) as part of the UN Monuc 3 deployment. Meanwhile, the Burundi peacekeeping venture is also dragging on and only part of the year's budget has been provided for - R162m.
A beneficiary of the peacekeeping and diplomatic initiatives around the New Partnership For Africa's Development is defence intelligence, which receives a 36,6% boost, and intelligence processing, which is allocated 91,7% more.
A problem is the need to transform the racial complexion of the force while retaining essential skills and reversing the unacceptably high age and low fitness profile of the rank and file.
To this end, the SANDF has introduced the military skills development system - a voluntary call-up, though it shudders at the phrase. This will entail two years of service, with the option to sign up permanently or join the reserves.
The burden of HIV/Aids and exotic diseases among troops in Burundi and the DRC is placing stress on the military health support budget, which rises just 6,3% this year, says the "Estimates of national expenditure".
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28 Février 2003 à 14:34 dans
- zsandf (anglais)

